Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.004317 0.004853 0.005458 0.006198 0.007087 0.008131 0.009466
2026-01-11 0.003544 0.004216 0.005039 0.006145 0.007623 0.009582 0.012471
2026-01-18 0.003115 0.003847 0.004797 0.006157 0.008127 0.011002 0.015787
2026-01-25 0.002765 0.003508 0.004510 0.006019 0.008342 0.012005 0.018773
2026-02-01 0.002464 0.003188 0.004194 0.005767 0.008310 0.012582 0.021212
2026-02-08 0.002221 0.002919 0.003914 0.005517 0.008216 0.013007 0.023504
2026-02-15 0.002100 0.002809 0.003849 0.005584 0.008651 0.014471 0.028625
2026-02-22 0.001956 0.002652 0.003692 0.005477 0.008754 0.015317 0.032750
2026-03-01 0.001821 0.002495 0.003522 0.005323 0.008738 0.015908 0.036556
2026-03-08 0.001710 0.002367 0.003384 0.005207 0.008772 0.016616 0.041169
2026-03-15 0.001663 0.002333 0.003392 0.005348 0.009343 0.018741 0.052099
2026-03-22 0.001630 0.002319 0.003432 0.005552 0.010085 0.021564 0.068873
2026-03-29 0.001565 0.002254 0.003389 0.005612 0.010571 0.024057 0.088986
2026-04-05 0.001488 0.002164 0.003297 0.005567 0.010820 0.026026 0.110899
2026-04-12 0.001427 0.002097 0.003237 0.005578 0.011208 0.028656 0.144761
2026-04-19 0.001353 0.002002 0.003121 0.005457 0.011234 0.030082 0.174803
2026-04-26 0.001272 0.001891 0.002967 0.005238 0.010960 0.030291 0.195000
2026-05-03 0.001198 0.001788 0.002819 0.005019 0.010649 0.030260 0.214077
2026-05-10 0.001165 0.001754 0.002799 0.005078 0.011128 0.033773 0.305095
2026-05-17 0.001116 0.001689 0.002716 0.004984 0.011149 0.035331 0.381501
2026-05-24 0.001065 0.001619 0.002618 0.004849 0.011022 0.036159 0.456010
2026-05-31 0.001022 0.001561 0.002538 0.004747 0.010980 0.037433 0.569408
2026-06-07 0.001007 0.001551 0.002554 0.004871 0.011682 0.043246 1.051816